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South Africa elections: ANC sees worst loss in 20 years

Written on:August 10, 2016
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South African elections

Democratic Alliance leader Mmusi Maimane.

South Africa’s ruling party has suffered its biggest election setback since taking power at the end of apartheid a generation ago, with the African National Congress losing in the Tshwane metropolitan area that includes the country’s capital, Pretoria.

But it held a slight lead in the country’s biggest city, Johannesburg, with 99 per cent of votes counted Saturday.

The opposition Democratic Alliance party, which has roots in the anti-apartheid movement and had a white party leader until last year, made a strong move out of its stronghold in the city of Cape Town, winning in at least three of the country’s six largest municipalities.

With no party reaching a majority in Johannesburg or Tshwane, the possible formation of coalition governments is the next challenge. Results were delayed for Johannesburg even beyond Saturday night’s announcement ceremony, with some wards still being finalized. The ANC was leading the Democratic Alliance there, 43 per cent to 39 per cent.

The losses have threatened a generation of dominance for the ANC, the former anti-apartheid movement.

‘It’s not enough’

Since South Africa’s first all-race election in 1994, the ANC has had widespread support on the strength of its successful fight against white-minority rule, while bringing basic amenities to many people. But its hold has been weakened by corruption scandals and a stagnant economy that has frustrated the urban middle class, while poor communities demand better services.

“Election after election, the ANC has hung on to its past glory and kept its place in the hearts of most South Africans. … This time round, though, it’s not enough,” the Mail & Guardian newspaper said in an editorial. On social media, South Africans mocked President Jacob Zuma’s recent claim that the ANC would rule “until Jesus comes back.”

A man pushes a wheelbarrow past a billboard of South Africa’s Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) party in Soweto on Aug. 5, 2016. Since the country’s first all-race election in 1994, the ruling ANC party has had widespread support. But its hold has been weakened recently by corruption scandals and a stagnant economy. (Siphiwe Sibeko/Reuters)
South Africa's President Jacob Zuma reacts during the official announcement of the munincipal election results in Pretoria on Aug. 6, 2016.

South Africa’s President Jacob Zuma reacts during the official announcement of the munincipal election results in Pretoria on Aug. 6, 2016. (Siphiwe Sibeko/Reuters)

In a brief address shortly before final results were announced, the 74-year-old Zuma praised South Africans for a vote he called largely peaceful, free and fair.

“Our democracy is maturing,” he said. “Let us get back to work and build our country together.”

As the president spoke, four women stood up in front of him, silently facing the crowd and holding signs that appeared to refer to Zuma’s acquittal for rape in 2006. Zuma didn’t appear to respond.

The election has been notable for its peaceful power shift away from an entrenched government in Africa, where some leaders have been in power for decades. In contrast, 92-year-old President Robert Mugabe in neighbouring Zimbabwe has kept control since independence in 1980 with a series of disputed elections and crackdowns on dissent.

Before this election, the ANC had never lost a major black-majority municipality. Now it has lost two, including Nelson Mandela Bay, named for the ANC’s star and the country’s first black president. The Democratic Alliance won Nelson Mandela Bay after fielding a white candidate for mayor.

2nd-place party already looking ahead

The Democratic Alliance already runs the country’s second largest city, Cape Town, the only major city where blacks are in the minority among white and mixed-race residents. It has declared that its brand is good governance.

“For far too long, the ANC has governed South Africa with absolute impunity,” the party’s leader, 36-year-old Mmusi Maimane, told reporters earlier Saturday. He said the idea that his party was a white one has been “completely shattered.”

The Democratic Alliance angered the ANC last month by declaring that it was the only party that could realize Mandela’s dream of a “prosperous, united and non-racial South Africa.”

Maimane immediately looked ahead to presidential elections. “The 2019 campaign starts now,” he said.

The ANC so far has received 53 per cent of votes across the country, its lowest percentage ever, with the Democratic Alliance getting 26 per cent. A more radical opposition party, the Economic Freedom Fighters, contested the local elections for the first time and received 8 per cent of the vote nationwide after promising measures it says will help the poor.

The results for the ANC could put pressure on Zuma to leave office before his mandate ends in 2019, political analysts said.

The ANC has said “we will reflect and introspect where our support has dropped.” It retained support in many rural areas in a country where blacks make up 80 per cent of the population.

The South African economy has stagnated since the global financial crisis in 2008, and the World Bank says the country has one of the highest rates of inequality in the world.

Scandals swirling around Zuma have also hurt the ANC. Opposition groups have seized on the revelation that the state paid more than $20 million for upgrades to Zuma’s private home. The constitutional Court recently said Zuma violated the constitution and instructed him to reimburse the state $507,000.

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